Round 4 · simulation 49 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-30y

Round 2030

Round 4 of 30 in simulation 49 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 4 actions, and the index +0.017 to 6.89.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.89 (+0.018)
In: 6.87
Rank by index
83
In: 83
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 3
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.702.700.00012
Strategic Infrastructure7.627.620.0008
National Security4.604.600.0009
Human Capital7.818.03+0.21812
Information & Influence8.258.25+0.0019
Governance & Integrity8.588.58−0.00315
Financial Strength7.597.56−0.03120
Production & Innovation7.107.09−0.01015
Trade & Investment7.617.59−0.01813

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 125, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 103. Spent 24 on actions (build 22, partner 3). 1 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.84 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 11 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling7 credits for 0.81 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & AI Competence by 0 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence7 credits for 0.72 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance3 credits for 0.17 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.69+0.690.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.67+0.670.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.59+0.590.000.000.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.070.000.000.00−0.07
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.05+0.090.000.00−0.14
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.050.000.000.00−0.05