Round 2031
Round 5 of 30 in simulation 49 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 4 actions, Global funding seizure and AI labour shock, and the index −0.517 to 6.37.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.37 (−0.517)
- In: 6.89
- Rank by index
- 91
- In: 83
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 1
- In: 1
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.70 | 2.25 | −0.459 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.62 | 7.25 | −0.363 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.60 | 4.60 | −0.003 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.03 | 7.95 | −0.079 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.25 | 7.81 | −0.439 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.58 | 8.16 | −0.425 | 15 → 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.56 | 6.40 | −1.162 | 20 → 23 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.09 | 6.24 | −0.845 | 15 → 17 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.59 | 6.71 | −0.874 | 13 → 14 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 125, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 103. Spent 21 on actions (build 6, buy 3, partner 13). 1 carried over.
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills6 credits for 0.70 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 9 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.38 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication6 credits for 0.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity3 credits for 0.20 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
- Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −28.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −22.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 15 to 16; Financial Strength Tier 20 to 23; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 17; Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 14.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment Attraction & Projection | −1.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.46 | −0.01 |
| Labour & Employment | −1.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.35 | −0.01 |
| Financial Stability & Crisis Management | −1.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.28 | −0.01 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −1.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.24 | −0.02 |
| Financial System Depth & Access | −1.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.26 | 0.00 |
| Financial Regulation & Integrity | −1.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.26 | 0.00 |