Round 9 · simulation 49 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-30y

Round 2035

Round 9 of 30 in simulation 49 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 2 actions, and the index −0.017 to 5.27.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.27 (−0.017)
In: 5.28
Rank by index
113
In: 112
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology1.461.45−0.01014
Strategic Infrastructure5.865.83−0.0399
National Security3.293.27−0.02010
Human Capital7.777.76−0.00610
Information & Influence6.996.97−0.02410
Governance & Integrity7.327.30−0.01817
Financial Strength4.944.93−0.00427 → 30
Production & Innovation4.944.92−0.02618 → 19
Trade & Investment4.974.96−0.00417

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 76. Maintenance 70. Spent 6 on actions (partner 6). 0 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.37 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 8 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access1 credits for 0.16 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 27 to 30; Production & Innovation Tier 18 to 19.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.24+0.290.000.00−0.05
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.18+0.330.000.00−0.15
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.13+0.140.000.00−0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.120.000.000.00−0.12
Global Value Chain Position−0.100.000.000.00−0.10
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.090.000.000.00−0.09