Round 8 · simulation 49 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-30y

Round 2034

Round 8 of 30 in simulation 49 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 2 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.867 to 5.28.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.28 (−0.867)
In: 6.15
Rank by index
112
In: 94
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology1.931.46−0.47213 → 14
Strategic Infrastructure7.065.86−1.1979
National Security4.573.29−1.2799 → 10
Human Capital8.027.77−0.24910
Information & Influence7.496.99−0.4949 → 10
Governance & Integrity7.967.32−0.63716 → 17
Financial Strength6.064.94−1.12324 → 27
Production & Innovation5.904.94−0.95517 → 18
Trade & Investment6.374.97−1.40114 → 17

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 98. Maintenance 89. Spent 9 on actions (partner 9). 0 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.30 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 3 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection5 credits for 0.57 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 2 per cent
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −64.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 13 to 14; National Security Tier 9 to 10; Information & Influence Tier 9 to 10; Governance & Integrity Tier 16 to 17; Financial Strength Tier 24 to 27; Production & Innovation Tier 17 to 18; Trade & Investment Tier 14 to 17.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence−2.290.000.00−2.24−0.05
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−2.200.000.00−2.17−0.03
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−2.190.000.00−2.17−0.02
Maritime Power−2.140.000.00−2.130.00
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−2.070.000.00−2.05−0.03
Resource Infrastructure−1.860.000.00−1.79−0.06