Round 12 · simulation 49 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-30y

Round 2038

Round 12 of 30 in simulation 49 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 3 actions, and the index −0.002 to 5.23.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.23 (−0.002)
In: 5.23
Rank by index
113
In: 113
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology1.431.42−0.00714
Strategic Infrastructure5.715.67−0.0399
National Security3.203.17−0.03010
Human Capital7.707.66−0.03910 → 11
Information & Influence6.916.89−0.02010
Governance & Integrity7.267.25−0.02017
Financial Strength4.995.02+0.03730
Production & Innovation4.844.88+0.03419
Trade & Investment5.035.10+0.06616

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 80. Maintenance 69. Spent 12 on actions (buy 4, partner 8). 0 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.28 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 6 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity4 credits for 0.36 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection4 credits for 0.51 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 10 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.49+0.510.000.00−0.02
Economic Output & Productivity+0.33+0.360.000.00−0.03
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.26+0.280.000.00−0.03
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.10+0.120.000.00−0.02
Land Power−0.080.000.000.00−0.08
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.070.000.000.00−0.07