Round 13 · simulation 49 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-30y

Round 2039

Round 13 of 30 in simulation 49 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.010 to 5.24.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.24 (+0.010)
In: 5.23
Rank by index
113
In: 113
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology1.421.48+0.05614 → 13
Strategic Infrastructure5.675.64−0.0319 → 10
National Security3.173.15−0.02310
Human Capital7.667.62−0.03811
Information & Influence6.896.88−0.01910
Governance & Integrity7.257.23−0.01917
Financial Strength5.025.07+0.04630
Production & Innovation4.884.96+0.08819 → 18
Trade & Investment5.105.13+0.03216

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 84. Maintenance 68. Spent 15 on actions (buy 10, partner 6). 1 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.28 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 5 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion4 credits for 0.55 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies4 credits for 0.62 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity2 credits for 0.15 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access2 credits for 0.24 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 14 to 13; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 9 to 10; Production & Innovation Tier 19 to 18.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.61+0.620.000.00−0.01
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.56+0.550.000.00+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.31+0.280.000.00+0.03
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.24+0.250.000.00−0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+0.13+0.150.000.00−0.02
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.10+0.120.000.00−0.02