Round 2043
Round 17 of 30 in simulation 49 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.047 to 5.40.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.40 (−0.047)
- In: 5.44
- Rank by index
- 112
- In: 111
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 14
- In: 7
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 1.79 | 1.81 | +0.015 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.82 | 5.81 | −0.003 | 9 |
| National Security | 3.15 | 3.15 | +0.007 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.68 | 7.60 | −0.084 | 10 → 11 |
| Information & Influence | 7.04 | 7.00 | −0.044 | 10 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.33 | 7.27 | −0.063 | 17 |
| Financial Strength | 5.30 | 5.21 | −0.084 | 27 → 30 |
| Production & Innovation | 5.31 | 5.20 | −0.113 | 17 |
| Trade & Investment | 5.57 | 5.52 | −0.054 | 15 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2043: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 103, plus 7 carried in. Maintenance 72. Spent 25 on actions (buy 15, partner 10). 14 carried over.
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies5 credits for 0.71 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.32 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence5 credits for 0.68 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 1 per cent
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance5 credits for 0.63 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence5 credits for 0.70 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −26.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 10 to 11; Financial Strength Tier 27 to 30.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.57 | +0.71 | 0.00 | −0.14 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.50 | +0.63 | 0.00 | −0.15 | +0.01 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.42 | +0.70 | 0.00 | −0.29 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.29 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.27 | 0.00 |
| Labour & Employment | −0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.24 | +0.02 |