Round 16 · simulation 49 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-30y

Round 2042

Round 16 of 30 in simulation 49 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.085 to 5.44.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.44 (+0.086)
In: 5.36
Rank by index
111
In: 112
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
8
In: 4
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology1.681.79+0.11412
Strategic Infrastructure5.765.82+0.0619
National Security3.143.15+0.00410
Human Capital7.667.68+0.02611 → 10
Information & Influence6.967.04+0.07810
Governance & Integrity7.297.33+0.03917
Financial Strength5.225.30+0.08030 → 27
Production & Innovation5.115.31+0.19818 → 17
Trade & Investment5.415.57+0.16616 → 15

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 98, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 71. Spent 24 on actions (buy 14, partner 9). 8 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.32 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence5 credits for 0.71 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.42 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.62 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.69 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +2.5 points this round.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 11 to 10; Financial Strength Tier 30 to 27; Production & Innovation Tier 18 to 17; Trade & Investment Tier 16 to 15.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.75+0.710.00+0.040.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.70+0.620.00+0.080.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.46+0.420.00+0.040.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.38+0.340.00+0.04−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.35+0.340.00+0.020.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.34+0.310.00+0.02+0.01