Round 4 · simulation 76 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-30y

Round 2030

Round 4 of 30 in simulation 76 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.036 to 7.31.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.31 (+0.036)
In: 7.28
Rank by index
77
In: 77
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
4
In: 3
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.983.02+0.04112
Strategic Infrastructure7.887.880.0007
National Security4.604.600.0009
Human Capital8.018.29+0.27912
Information & Influence8.518.52+0.0067
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.578.570.00017
Production & Innovation7.757.750.00014
Trade & Investment8.308.300.00012

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 143, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 111. Spent 32 on actions (build 22, buy 10). 4 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.83 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 10 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling7 credits for 0.82 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & AI Competence by 2 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence7 credits for 0.72 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 4 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation7 credits for 0.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies3 credits for 0.41 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.69+0.690.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.67+0.670.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.59+0.590.000.000.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.56+0.560.000.000.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.41+0.410.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.030.000.000.00+0.03