Round 5 · simulation 76 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-30y

Round 2031

Round 5 of 30 in simulation 76 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.049 to 7.36.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.36 (+0.050)
In: 7.31
Rank by index
76
In: 77
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
4
In: 4
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.023.020.00012
Strategic Infrastructure7.887.880.0007
National Security4.604.60+0.0029
Human Capital8.298.55+0.26912 → 10
Information & Influence8.528.66+0.1447
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.578.570.00017
Production & Innovation7.757.76+0.00614
Trade & Investment8.308.32+0.02412

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 143, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 112. Spent 32 on actions (build 22, buy 7, partner 3). 4 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.80 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 10 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling7 credits for 0.79 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & AI Competence by 2 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence7 credits for 0.69 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 1 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.83 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication3 credits for 0.34 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 12 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.85+0.850.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.83+0.830.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.83+0.830.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.73+0.730.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.17+0.170.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.040.000.000.00+0.04