Round 3 · simulation 77 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-30y

Round 2029

Round 3 of 30 in simulation 77 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 4 actions, and the index −0.074 to 7.07.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.07 (−0.075)
In: 7.15
Rank by index
80
In: 80
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 3
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.812.67−0.13612
Strategic Infrastructure7.837.79−0.0468
National Security4.554.50−0.0489
Human Capital7.817.93+0.12312
Information & Influence8.398.28−0.1139
Governance & Integrity8.838.78−0.05814 → 15
Financial Strength8.458.33−0.12217 → 18
Production & Innovation7.517.43−0.08414
Trade & Investment8.127.94−0.18313

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 124, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 108. Spent 19 on actions (build 17, buy 1). 0 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.86 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 11 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling7 credits for 0.84 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & AI Competence by 1 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence3 credits for 0.30 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 5 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion1 credits for 0.18 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: −6.5 points this round.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 15; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 18.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.49+0.530.00−0.030.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.48+0.510.00−0.030.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.33+0.360.00−0.030.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.240.000.00−0.23−0.01
Global Value Chain Position−0.240.000.00−0.23−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.230.000.00−0.230.00