Round 4 · simulation 77 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-30y

Round 2030

Round 4 of 30 in simulation 77 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 4 actions, and the index −0.074 to 7.00.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.00 (−0.073)
In: 7.07
Rank by index
80
In: 80
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.672.55−0.12312
Strategic Infrastructure7.797.74−0.0488
National Security4.504.45−0.0499
Human Capital7.938.09+0.15912
Information & Influence8.288.17−0.1139
Governance & Integrity8.788.72−0.05915
Financial Strength8.338.20−0.12418
Production & Innovation7.437.32−0.11514 → 15
Trade & Investment7.947.75−0.19013

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 123. Maintenance 106. Spent 16 on actions (build 15, buy 1). 0 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills6 credits for 0.73 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 11 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling6 credits for 0.71 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & AI Competence by 0 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence3 credits for 0.26 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 2 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies1 credits for 0.19 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 1 per cent

Earlier events still landing: −6.5 points this round.

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 15.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.64+0.670.00−0.030.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.62+0.650.00−0.030.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.38+0.410.00−0.030.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.270.000.00−0.23−0.04
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.250.000.00−0.23−0.01
Global Value Chain Position−0.240.000.00−0.23−0.01