Round 2040
Round 14 of 30 in simulation 77 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.222 to 7.31.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.31 (−0.222)
- In: 7.53
- Rank by index
- 77
- In: 73
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 4
- In: 3
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.46 | 3.54 | +0.083 | 10 → 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.75 | 7.58 | −0.170 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.48 | 4.49 | +0.010 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 9.06 | 8.98 | −0.085 | 8 |
| Information & Influence | 8.99 | 8.82 | −0.178 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.70 | 8.49 | −0.213 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 8.38 | 7.79 | −0.593 | 18 → 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.97 | 7.51 | −0.452 | 12 → 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.99 | 8.59 | −0.404 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 155, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 116. Spent 38 on actions (build 8, buy 23, partner 8). 4 carried over.
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing8 credits for 0.91 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence8 credits for 0.92 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 0 per cent
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling8 credits for 0.76 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing8 credits for 0.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance8 credits for 0.40 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & AI Competence by 0 per cent
- Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −18.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 10 to 8; Financial Strength Tier 18 to 20; Production & Innovation Tier 12 to 14.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.98 | +0.92 | 0.00 | −0.21 | +0.26 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | −0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.87 | +0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | −0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.76 | +0.01 |
| Financial Stability & Crisis Management | −0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.74 | 0.00 |
| Financial Regulation & Integrity | −0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.73 | 0.00 |
| Financial System Depth & Access | −0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.73 | 0.00 |