Round 15 · simulation 77 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-30y

Round 2041

Round 15 of 30 in simulation 77 of Kenya, greedy, 30 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.049 to 7.36.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.36 (+0.048)
In: 7.31
Rank by index
76
In: 77
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
2
In: 4
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.543.57+0.0328
Strategic Infrastructure7.587.59+0.0108
National Security4.494.50+0.0059
Human Capital8.989.02+0.0448
Information & Influence8.828.83+0.0127
Governance & Integrity8.498.490.00015
Financial Strength7.797.83+0.04220
Production & Innovation7.517.72+0.20514 → 11
Trade & Investment8.598.68+0.08911

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 145, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 113. Spent 34 on actions (buy 16, partner 19). 2 carried over.

  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection8 credits for 0.82 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 2 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity8 credits for 0.57 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance8 credits for 0.42 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 1 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion8 credits for 0.84 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 0 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position3 credits for 0.34 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 1 per cent

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.86+0.840.000.00+0.02
Economic Output & Productivity+0.58+0.570.000.00+0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.39+0.410.000.00−0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.35+0.410.000.00−0.06
Artificial Intelligence+0.260.000.000.00+0.26
Advanced Education+0.22+0.220.000.000.00