Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 21 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.063 to 6.93.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.93 (−0.063)
- In: 6.99
- Rank by index
- 82
- In: 80
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.93 | 2.89 | −0.038 | 11 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.59 | 7.50 | −0.087 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.59 | 4.58 | −0.005 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.21 | 8.25 | +0.039 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.33 | 8.27 | −0.056 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.64 | 8.54 | −0.101 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.58 | 7.47 | −0.109 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.13 | 7.10 | −0.031 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.91 | 7.73 | −0.180 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 129. Maintenance 105. Spent 24 on actions (build 7, buy 17). 0 carried over.
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.80 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.88 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.70 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence3 credits for 0.36 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance1 credits for 0.16 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −24.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.72 | +0.80 | 0.00 | −0.08 | 0.00 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.71 | +0.88 | 0.00 | −0.16 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.67 | +0.80 | 0.00 | −0.14 | +0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.32 | +0.46 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.31 | −0.01 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.27 | 0.00 |