Round 5 · simulation 21 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 21 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.067 to 6.99.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.99 (+0.067)
In: 6.92
Rank by index
80
In: 82
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.902.93+0.02911
Strategic Infrastructure7.617.59−0.0188
National Security4.604.59−0.0079
Human Capital8.018.21+0.20212
Information & Influence8.258.33+0.0829
Governance & Integrity8.638.64+0.01215
Financial Strength7.537.58+0.04820
Production & Innovation7.057.13+0.08015
Trade & Investment7.737.91+0.17613

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 132. Maintenance 104. Spent 28 on actions (build 7, buy 8, partner 13). 0 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.73 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 5 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation7 credits for 0.92 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.40 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence1 credits for 0.18 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +0.7 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.85+0.840.00+0.010.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.56+0.540.00+0.01+0.01
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.53+0.520.00+0.010.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.46+0.460.00+0.010.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.45+0.450.00+0.01−0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.39+0.380.00+0.010.00