Round 18 · simulation 21 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 21 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.432 to 5.84.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.84 (−0.432)
In: 6.27
Rank by index
101
In: 93
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
2
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.253.04−0.2078 → 9
Strategic Infrastructure6.826.50−0.3189
National Security3.543.52−0.02210
Human Capital7.837.61−0.21811
Information & Influence7.557.25−0.3048 → 9
Governance & Integrity7.497.13−0.35317
Financial Strength6.135.11−1.02124 → 30
Production & Innovation6.545.78−0.75515 → 16
Trade & Investment7.296.59−0.69212 → 13

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 119, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 92. Spent 26 on actions (buy 8, partner 17). 2 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.55 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication6 credits for 0.68 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection6 credits for 0.66 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.36 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing2 credits for 0.28 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −29.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 9; Information & Influence Tier 8 to 9; Financial Strength Tier 24 to 30; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 16; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 13.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Output & Productivity−1.230.000.00−1.21−0.01
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−1.180.000.00−1.180.00
Financial Regulation & Integrity−1.170.000.00−1.16−0.01
Financial System Depth & Access−1.170.000.00−1.16−0.01
Labour & Employment−1.140.000.00−1.130.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−1.120.000.00−1.15+0.03