Round 2045
Round 19 of 20 in simulation 21 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 4 actions, Automated discovery step, and the index +0.022 to 5.86.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.86 (+0.022)
- In: 5.84
- Rank by index
- 101
- In: 101
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 1
- In: 2
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.04 | 3.10 | +0.057 | 9 → 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.50 | 6.49 | −0.008 | 9 |
| National Security | 3.52 | 3.50 | −0.014 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.61 | 7.62 | +0.001 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 7.25 | 7.24 | −0.007 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.13 | 7.13 | −0.001 | 17 |
| Financial Strength | 5.11 | 5.12 | +0.013 | 30 |
| Production & Innovation | 5.78 | 5.81 | +0.023 | 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.59 | 6.72 | +0.130 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2045: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 101, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 85. Spent 17 on actions (buy 5, partner 12). 1 carried over.
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection6 credits for 0.71 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.40 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 2 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity2 credits for 0.20 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence2 credits for 0.28 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
- Upside event: Automated discovery step S17. +2.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 9 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.64 | +0.69 | 0.00 | +0.01 | −0.06 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.43 | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.12 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.34 | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.21 | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.21 | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.01 | −0.18 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | −0.09 |