Round 2046
Round 20 of 20 in simulation 21 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.104 to 5.76.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.76 (−0.104)
- In: 5.86
- Rank by index
- 104
- In: 101
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 1
- In: 1
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.10 | 3.09 | −0.014 | 8 → 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.49 | 6.42 | −0.073 | 9 |
| National Security | 3.50 | 3.51 | +0.013 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.62 | 7.48 | −0.136 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 7.24 | 7.04 | −0.204 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.13 | 7.01 | −0.117 | 17 |
| Financial Strength | 5.12 | 4.95 | −0.167 | 30 |
| Production & Innovation | 5.81 | 5.75 | −0.059 | 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.72 | 6.55 | −0.178 | 13 → 14 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2046: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 107, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 85. Spent 22 on actions (buy 22). 1 carried over.
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.61 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.47 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.42 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 1 per cent
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing5 credits for 0.60 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies2 credits for 0.24 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −30.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 9; Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 14.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.41 | +0.61 | 0.00 | −0.17 | −0.03 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.40 | +0.60 | 0.00 | −0.19 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.36 | −0.01 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.32 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | −0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.38 | +0.06 |
| Labour & Employment | −0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.31 | −0.01 |