Round 2029
Round 3 of 20 in simulation 61 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.053 to 7.19.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.19 (−0.053)
- In: 7.24
- Rank by index
- 79
- In: 78
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 3
- In: 2
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.00 | 2.98 | −0.029 | 12 → 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.88 | 7.84 | −0.043 | 7 → 8 |
| National Security | 4.60 | 4.55 | −0.045 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.82 | 7.95 | +0.125 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.42 | 8.38 | −0.046 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.89 | 8.84 | −0.055 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 8.57 | 8.46 | −0.109 | 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.70 | 7.60 | −0.103 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.30 | 8.13 | −0.168 | 12 → 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2029: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 143, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 111. Spent 32 on actions (build 22, buy 10). 3 carried over.
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.86 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 11 per cent
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling7 credits for 0.84 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 1.00 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & AI Competence by 0 per cent
- BuildDigital & AI Competence7 credits for 0.74 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 2 per cent
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance3 credits for 0.35 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 2 per cent
- Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −18.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 12 to 10; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 7 to 8; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 13.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.89 | +1.00 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.50 | +0.53 | 0.00 | −0.03 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.48 | +0.51 | 0.00 | −0.03 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.33 | +0.36 | 0.00 | −0.03 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.24 | +0.35 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | −0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.22 | 0.00 |