Round 3 · simulation 10 · cycle-001.e3-ken-random

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 10 of Kenya, random, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.015 to 6.11.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.11 (−0.015)
In: 6.13
Rank by index
95
In: 95
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
45
In: 29
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.362.34−0.02512
Strategic Infrastructure6.556.50−0.0548 → 9
National Security4.084.080.0009
Human Capital6.786.780.00013
Information & Influence6.926.90−0.01811 → 10
Governance & Integrity8.168.15−0.00516
Financial Strength7.047.04−0.00122
Production & Innovation6.486.42−0.05917
Trade & Investment6.786.81+0.02413

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 116, plus 29 carried in. Maintenance 88. Spent 12 on actions (build 4, buy 7, partner 1). 45 carried over.

  • BuildInvestment Attraction & Projection1 credits for 0.09 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuyFinancial Stability & Crisis Management1 credits for 0.06 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildInformation Environment & Strategic Communication2 credits for 0.16 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuyEconomic Leverage & Dependence6 credits for 0.46 levelsrandom_draw
  • PartnerHealth System Capability1 credits for 0.07 levelsrandom_draw

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 8 to 9; Information & Influence Tier 11 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.37+0.460.000.00−0.09
Artificial Intelligence−0.140.000.000.00−0.14
Economic Output & Productivity−0.120.000.000.00−0.12
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure−0.100.000.000.00−0.10
Social Infrastructure−0.090.000.000.00−0.09
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.090.000.000.00−0.09