Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 10 of Kenya, random, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.247 to 5.87.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.87 (−0.247)
- In: 6.11
- Rank by index
- 101
- In: 95
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 59
- In: 43
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.34 | 2.14 | −0.201 | 12 → 13 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.50 | 6.05 | −0.447 | 9 |
| National Security | 4.08 | 3.60 | −0.483 | 9 → 10 |
| Human Capital | 6.78 | 6.76 | −0.017 | 13 |
| Information & Influence | 6.90 | 6.49 | −0.408 | 10 → 11 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.15 | 7.89 | −0.264 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.04 | 7.04 | 0.000 | 22 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.42 | 6.22 | −0.202 | 17 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.81 | 6.61 | −0.201 | 13 → 14 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 115, plus 43 carried in. Maintenance 87. Spent 12 on actions (buy 4, partner 8). 59 carried over.
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation1 credits for 0.17 levelsrandom_draw
- PartnerArtificial Intelligence1 credits for 0.11 levelsrandom_draw
- BuyGlobal Value Chain Position2 credits for 0.17 levelsrandom_draw
- PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy6 credits for 0.59 levelsrandom_draw
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing1 credits for 0.14 levelsrandom_draw
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −18.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 12 to 13; National Security Tier 9 to 10; Information & Influence Tier 10 to 11; Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 14.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maritime Power | −0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.79 | −0.01 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.77 | −0.02 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.75 | −0.01 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.65 | −0.04 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.65 | +0.05 | 0.00 | −0.70 | −0.01 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | −0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.63 | −0.03 |