Round 1 · simulation 10 · cycle-001.e3-kor-greedy-marginal-10y

Round 2027

Round 1 of 10 in simulation 10 of South Korea, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.134 to 15.87.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2027 (the end of 2026) and as it left it.

Capability index
15.87 (−0.134)
In: 16.00
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
87
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0815.96−0.1192 → 3
Strategic Infrastructure16.3216.04−0.2722
National Security14.4114.29−0.1193
Human Capital16.4916.73+0.2441
Information & Influence15.4915.51+0.0163 → 2
Governance & Integrity15.8415.70−0.1414 → 5
Financial Strength16.0715.78−0.3005
Production & Innovation16.6316.41−0.2181
Trade & Investment16.6816.38−0.2992

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2027: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 888. Maintenance 580. Spent 222 on actions (build 133, buy 44, partner 44). 87 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills44 credits for 3.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 16 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling44 credits for 3.47 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & AI Competence by 5 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence44 credits for 2.62 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 5 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation44 credits for 1.83 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 3 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation44 credits for 3.40 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 4 per cent
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −14.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2027, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+1.68+1.830.00−0.150.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.47+1.700.00−0.230.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.60+0.750.00−0.150.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.55+0.690.00−0.150.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.520.000.00−0.520.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−0.460.000.00−0.460.00