Round 4 · simulation 10 · cycle-001.e3-kor-greedy-marginal-10y

Round 2030

Round 4 of 10 in simulation 10 of South Korea, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.165 to 15.93.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
15.93 (−0.166)
In: 16.09
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 4
Credits carried
279
In: 218
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9615.70−0.2623
Strategic Infrastructure16.0315.48−0.5562
National Security14.2913.62−0.6683
Human Capital17.7918.16+0.3701
Information & Influence15.9916.01+0.0141 → 2
Governance & Integrity15.7015.36−0.3395
Financial Strength15.8716.09+0.2165 → 2
Production & Innovation16.4016.24−0.1551 → 2
Trade & Investment16.7916.68−0.1091

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 885, plus 218 carried in. Maintenance 606. Spent 218 on actions (build 87, buy 44, partner 87). 279 carried over.

  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance44 credits for 2.80 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 4 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection44 credits for 2.47 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity44 credits for 1.83 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance44 credits for 1.24 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 1 per cent
  • BuildFoundational Education44 credits for 1.60 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −25.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 1 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 5 to 2; Production & Innovation Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+2.32+2.800.00−0.50+0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+1.28+1.280.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation−1.010.000.00−1.00−0.01
Maritime Power−1.000.000.00−1.000.00
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−1.000.000.00−1.000.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.990.000.00−0.990.00