Round 24 · simulation 22 · cycle-002.e4-bra

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 22 of Brazil, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.508 to 11.58.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.58 (−0.508)
In: 12.09
Rank by index
31
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 3
Credits carried
49
In: 42
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.689.02−0.6654
Strategic Infrastructure14.9814.73−0.2541 → 2
National Security9.298.96−0.3295
Human Capital14.3413.97−0.3681
Information & Influence12.4511.77−0.6771
Governance & Integrity11.1310.77−0.3607
Financial Strength12.8812.24−0.6425 → 6
Production & Innovation12.7212.15−0.5703
Trade & Investment11.3510.64−0.7109

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 388, plus 42 carried in. Maintenance 343. Spent 39 on actions (partner 39). 49 carried over.

  • PartnerAgriculture & Food Infrastructure8 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure8 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerDigital & AI Competence8 credits for 0.53 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTechnology Adoption & Diffusion8 credits for 0.53 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics8 credits for 0.67 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −39.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 1 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 5 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.200.000.00−1.200.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−1.170.000.00−1.170.00
Labour & Employment−0.96+0.170.00−1.16+0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.93+0.080.00−1.01+0.01
Health System Capability−0.800.000.00−0.800.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.77+0.670.00−1.440.00