Round 3 · simulation 2 · cycle-002.e4-bwa

Round 1999

Round 3 of 30 in simulation 2 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 9 actions, and the index +0.009 to 8.89.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 1999 (the end of 1998) and as it left it.

Capability index
8.89 (+0.009)
In: 8.88
Rank by index
60
In: 61
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
39
In: 22
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.072.04−0.02913
Strategic Infrastructure9.639.65+0.0145
National Security5.765.78+0.0258
Human Capital9.429.56+0.13611 → 10
Information & Influence8.208.19−0.0158
Governance & Integrity13.4413.48+0.0376
Financial Strength12.5312.52−0.0169
Production & Innovation9.289.25−0.02811
Trade & Investment9.589.54−0.0389

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 1999: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 229, plus 22 carried in. Maintenance 148. Spent 65 on actions (build 60, buy 5). 39 carried over.

  • BuildFoundational Education12 credits for 0.72 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability12 credits for 0.53 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health12 credits for 0.72 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSocial Infrastructure12 credits for 0.47 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption5 credits for 0.18 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration5 credits for 0.18 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability5 credits for 0.22 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyAir Power2 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyLand Power2 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 11 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 1999, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Population Health+0.46+0.460.000.000.00
Foundational Education+0.45+0.460.000.00−0.01
Social Infrastructure+0.34+0.380.000.00−0.04
Health System Capability+0.33+0.340.000.00−0.01
Artificial Intelligence−0.160.000.000.00−0.16
Air Power+0.15+0.160.000.000.00