Round 9 · simulation 2 · cycle-002.e4-bwa

Round 2005

Round 9 of 30 in simulation 2 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 3 actions, and the index +0.030 to 9.09.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2005 (the end of 2004) and as it left it.

Capability index: 9.09 (+0.031); In: 9.06
Rank by index: 57; In: 57
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 105; In: 65

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	2.01	2.01	−0.003	13
Strategic Infrastructure	10.24	10.39	+0.153	4
National Security	5.73	5.73	−0.002	8
Human Capital	10.43	10.51	+0.083	5
Information & Influence	8.15	8.15	−0.002	8
Governance & Integrity	13.78	13.82	+0.040	5 → 4
Financial Strength	12.50	12.50	−0.001	9
Production & Innovation	9.20	9.20	0.000	11
Trade & Investment	9.50	9.50	+0.004	9

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2005: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 228, plus 65 carried in. Maintenance 154. Spent 34 on actions (build 34). 105 carried over.

BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure11 credits for 0.50 levelsscripted_history
BuildEnergy Infrastructure11 credits for 0.48 levelsscripted_history
BuildTransport Infrastructure11 credits for 0.47 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2005, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested	Graph
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure	+0.52	+0.52	0.00
Energy Infrastructure	+0.48	+0.49	0.00
Transport Infrastructure	+0.36	+0.36	0.00
Population Health	+0.28	+0.27	+0.01
Foundational Education	+0.27	+0.26	+0.01
Health System Capability	+0.18	+0.20	−0.02