Round 12 · simulation 2 · cycle-002.e4-bwa

Round 2008

Round 12 of 30 in simulation 2 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 6 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.198 to 8.94.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2008 (the end of 2007) and as it left it.

Capability index
8.94 (−0.198)
In: 9.14
Rank by index
60
In: 56
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
184
In: 161
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.011.84−0.16613
Strategic Infrastructure10.7010.71+0.0124
National Security5.735.73+0.0018
Human Capital10.5810.49−0.0845
Information & Influence8.157.99−0.1528
Governance & Integrity13.8713.71−0.1534
Financial Strength12.5011.96−0.5349 → 11
Production & Innovation9.218.87−0.34511 → 12
Trade & Investment9.529.16−0.3569 → 10

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2008: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 228, plus 161 carried in. Maintenance 157. Spent 48 on actions (build 34, partner 14). 184 carried over.

  • BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure11 credits for 0.45 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure11 credits for 0.44 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure11 credits for 0.43 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerStructural Transformation & Complexity5 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position5 credits for 0.47 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerAdvanced Manufacturing5 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −15.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 11; Production & Innovation Tier 11 to 12; Trade & Investment Tier 9 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2008, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Investment Attraction & Projection−0.690.000.00−0.690.00
Financial System Depth & Access−0.600.000.00−0.600.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.590.000.00−0.590.00
Labour & Employment−0.580.000.00−0.60+0.01
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.580.000.00−0.580.00
Financial Regulation & Integrity−0.580.000.00−0.59+0.01