Round 16 · simulation 2 · cycle-002.e4-bwa

Round 2012

Round 16 of 30 in simulation 2 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 7 actions, and the index +0.026 to 9.04.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2012 (the end of 2011) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.04 (+0.026)
In: 9.02
Rank by index
57
In: 57
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
301
In: 270
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology1.831.83−0.00113
Strategic Infrastructure11.0011.03+0.0324
National Security5.725.71−0.0068
Human Capital10.5710.62+0.0525
Information & Influence7.987.98−0.0018
Governance & Integrity13.7313.73+0.0034
Financial Strength11.9311.93+0.00111
Production & Innovation9.029.10+0.07712
Trade & Investment9.379.45+0.07410

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2012: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 217, plus 270 carried in. Maintenance 155. Spent 30 on actions (build 17, partner 13). 301 carried over.

  • PartnerStructural Transformation & Complexity4 credits for 0.28 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position4 credits for 0.42 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerAdvanced Manufacturing4 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure4 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAdvanced Education4 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills4 credits for 0.58 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion4 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
The groups that moved most in 2012, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Global Value Chain Position+0.43+0.420.000.000.00
Structural Transformation & Complexity+0.29+0.280.000.00+0.01
Advanced Manufacturing+0.27+0.250.000.00+0.02
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.25+0.230.000.00+0.01
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.19+0.190.000.000.00
Advanced Education+0.17+0.140.000.00+0.03