Round 2020
Round 24 of 30 in simulation 2 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 7 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.436 to 8.77.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 8.77 (−0.435)
- In: 9.21
- Rank by index
- 62
- In: 56
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 448
- In: 422
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 1.81 | 1.27 | −0.547 | 13 → 15 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.28 | 11.06 | −0.218 | 4 |
| National Security | 5.60 | 5.35 | −0.254 | 8 |
| Human Capital | 11.36 | 11.06 | −0.300 | 5 |
| Information & Influence | 7.85 | 7.25 | −0.592 | 8 → 10 |
| Governance & Integrity | 13.86 | 13.56 | −0.296 | 4 → 5 |
| Financial Strength | 11.78 | 11.22 | −0.554 | 11 |
| Production & Innovation | 9.58 | 9.09 | −0.495 | 10 |
| Trade & Investment | 9.73 | 9.06 | −0.664 | 10 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 216, plus 422 carried in. Maintenance 159. Spent 30 on actions (build 30). 448 carried over.
- BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure4 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
- BuildAdvanced Education4 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills4 credits for 0.45 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion4 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
- BuildHealth System Capability4 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity4 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −32.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 13 to 15; Information & Influence Tier 8 to 10; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.16 | +0.01 |
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | −1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.08 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.02 | 0.00 |
| Labour & Employment | −0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.99 | +0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.89 | +0.05 | 0.00 | −0.95 | +0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | −0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.62 | 0.00 |