Round 29 · simulation 2 · cycle-002.e4-bwa

Round 2025

Round 29 of 30 in simulation 2 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 3 actions, and the index +0.006 to 8.82.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2025 (the end of 2024) and as it left it.

Capability index
8.82 (+0.006)
In: 8.81
Rank by index
62
In: 62
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
563
In: 511
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology1.251.25−0.00115
Strategic Infrastructure11.0711.05−0.0134
National Security5.325.31−0.0158
Human Capital11.2911.30+0.0175
Information & Influence7.257.26+0.00310
Governance & Integrity13.5613.560.0005
Financial Strength11.3011.34+0.03511
Production & Innovation9.259.29+0.03510
Trade & Investment9.029.02−0.00310

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2025: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 214, plus 511 carried in. Maintenance 149. Spent 13 on actions (build 13). 563 carried over.

  • BuildHealth System Capability4 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity4 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
The groups that moved most in 2025, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Output & Productivity+0.23+0.230.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.20+0.160.000.00+0.05
Health System Capability+0.14+0.160.000.00−0.02
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−0.040.000.000.00−0.04
Labour & Employment+0.030.000.000.00+0.03
Energy Infrastructure−0.030.000.000.00−0.03