Round 30 · simulation 29 · cycle-002.e4-bwa

Round 2026

Round 30 of 30 in simulation 29 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 3 actions, and the index +0.012 to 8.84.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2026 (the end of 2025) and as it left it.

Capability index
8.84 (+0.012)
In: 8.83
Rank by index
61
In: 62
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
591
In: 535
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology1.261.260.00014
Strategic Infrastructure11.0711.08+0.0094
National Security5.275.270.0008
Human Capital11.3611.38+0.0185
Information & Influence7.287.29+0.00510
Governance & Integrity13.5513.550.0005
Financial Strength11.3311.37+0.03611
Production & Innovation9.289.31+0.03610 → 9
Trade & Investment9.039.03−0.00110

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2026: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 217, plus 535 carried in. Maintenance 149. Spent 13 on actions (build 13). 591 carried over.

  • BuildHealth System Capability4 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity4 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 10 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2026, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Output & Productivity+0.22+0.230.000.00−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.21+0.160.000.00+0.05
Health System Capability+0.15+0.160.000.00−0.02
Advanced Manufacturing+0.040.000.000.00+0.04
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.030.000.000.00+0.03
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.030.000.000.00+0.03