Round 24 · simulation 9 · cycle-002.e4-bwa

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 9 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 7 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.436 to 8.78.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
8.78 (−0.435)
In: 9.22
Rank by index
62
In: 56
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
448
In: 422
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology1.821.27−0.54913 → 14
Strategic Infrastructure11.2911.07−0.2184
National Security5.585.33−0.2548
Human Capital11.3811.08−0.2975
Information & Influence7.857.26−0.5938 → 10
Governance & Integrity13.8613.57−0.2964
Financial Strength11.8011.24−0.55511
Production & Innovation9.619.12−0.49410
Trade & Investment9.769.09−0.66410

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 216, plus 422 carried in. Maintenance 160. Spent 30 on actions (build 30). 448 carried over.

  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure4 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAdvanced Education4 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills4 credits for 0.45 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion4 credits for 0.25 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability4 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity4 credits for 0.25 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −32.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 13 to 14; Information & Influence Tier 8 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.150.000.00−1.16+0.01
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−1.080.000.00−1.080.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.020.000.00−1.020.00
Labour & Employment−0.980.000.00−0.99+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.89+0.050.00−0.95+0.01
Global Value Chain Position−0.610.000.00−0.62+0.01