Round 25 · simulation 9 · cycle-002.e4-bwa

Round 2021

Round 25 of 30 in simulation 9 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 3 actions, and the index +0.017 to 8.80.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2021 (the end of 2020) and as it left it.

Capability index: 8.80 (+0.017); In: 8.78
Rank by index: 62; In: 62
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 470; In: 426

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	1.27	1.27	+0.002	14
Strategic Infrastructure	11.07	11.10	+0.025	4
National Security	5.33	5.33	+0.004	8
Human Capital	11.08	11.17	+0.085	5
Information & Influence	7.26	7.25	−0.002	10
Governance & Integrity	13.57	13.56	−0.001	4
Financial Strength	11.24	11.24	−0.003	11
Production & Innovation	9.12	9.17	+0.057	10
Trade & Investment	9.09	9.08	−0.009	10

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2021: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 204, plus 426 carried in. Maintenance 148. Spent 13 on actions (build 13). 470 carried over.

BuildHealth System Capability4 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
BuildEconomic Output & Productivity4 credits for 0.25 levelsscripted_history

The groups that moved most in 2021, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested	Graph
Technical & Vocational Skills	+0.38	+0.38	0.00
Advanced Education	+0.24	+0.24	0.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion	+0.20	+0.17	+0.03
Economic Output & Productivity	+0.18	+0.17	+0.02
Communications & Digital Infrastructure	+0.16	+0.16	0.00
Health System Capability	+0.07	+0.07	0.00