Round 2018
Round 22 of 30 in simulation 16 of China, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 0 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.179 to 7.09.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2018 (the end of 2017) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.09 (−0.179)
- In: 7.27
- Rank by index
- 80
- In: 76
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 5.24 | 5.00 | −0.243 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 8.86 | 8.76 | −0.104 | 6 |
| National Security | 7.59 | 7.48 | −0.113 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 7.79 | 7.71 | −0.079 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 7.55 | 7.34 | −0.218 | 9 → 10 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.31 | 7.19 | −0.120 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 5.68 | 5.47 | −0.215 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.05 | 6.85 | −0.200 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.38 | 8.06 | −0.322 | 8 → 9 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2018: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 132. Maintenance 132 of the 137 needed, so 4 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over. 5 actions could not be paid for.
- Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −33.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 9 to 10; Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 9.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Value Chain Position | −0.41 | 0.00 | −0.01 | −0.40 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −0.41 | 0.00 | −0.01 | −0.40 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | −0.41 | 0.00 | −0.01 | −0.38 | −0.01 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | −0.40 | 0.00 | −0.01 | −0.40 | +0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | −0.36 | 0.00 | −0.02 | −0.34 | −0.01 |
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | −0.36 | 0.00 | −0.01 | −0.35 | +0.01 |