Round 23 · simulation 16 · cycle-002.e4-chn

Round 2019

Round 23 of 30 in simulation 16 of China, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 0 actions, and the index −0.205 to 6.89.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2019 (the end of 2018) and as it left it.

Capability index: 6.89 (−0.205); In: 7.09
Rank by index: 83; In: 80
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 0; In: 0

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	5.00	4.72	−0.277	6 → 7
Strategic Infrastructure	8.76	8.63	−0.132	6
National Security	7.48	7.33	−0.153	5
Human Capital	7.71	7.63	−0.088	12
Information & Influence	7.34	7.09	−0.248	10
Governance & Integrity	7.19	7.07	−0.120	14
Financial Strength	5.47	5.23	−0.236	20 → 21
Production & Innovation	6.85	6.62	−0.226	14 → 16
Trade & Investment	8.06	7.70	−0.360	9 → 10

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2019: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 112. Maintenance 112 of the 132 needed, so 16 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over. 5 actions could not be paid for.

Earlier events still landing: −11.2 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 7; Financial Strength Tier 20 to 21; Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 16; Trade & Investment Tier 9 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2019, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Decay	Events	Graph
Global Value Chain Position	−0.47	−0.05	−0.40	−0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence	−0.45	−0.03	−0.40	−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication	−0.44	−0.05	−0.38	−0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing	−0.43	−0.03	−0.40	+0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access	−0.42	−0.08	−0.34	−0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks	−0.40	−0.06	−0.33	−0.01