Round 18 · simulation 1 · cycle-002.e4-est

Round 2014

Round 18 of 30 in simulation 1 of Estonia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.049 to 10.66.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2014 (the end of 2013) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.66 (−0.048)
In: 10.71
Rank by index
40
In: 39
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.994.88−0.1066
Strategic Infrastructure10.8010.76−0.0355
National Security6.476.45−0.0217
Human Capital13.6313.60−0.0302
Information & Influence10.3810.31−0.0712 → 3
Governance & Integrity15.2915.29−0.0031
Financial Strength12.0512.14+0.0867 → 6
Production & Innovation10.9310.83−0.0946
Trade & Investment11.8611.70−0.1631

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2014: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 272. Maintenance 225. Spent 47 on actions (build 47). 0 carried over. 6 actions could not be paid for.

  • BuildMonetary & Currency Capability14 credits for 0.48 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance14 credits for 0.41 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFinancial Regulation & Integrity14 credits for 0.70 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFinancial Stability & Crisis Management6 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −18.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2014, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Monetary & Currency Capability+0.35+0.500.00−0.16+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.220.000.00−0.220.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.220.000.00−0.220.00
Global Value Chain Position−0.210.000.00−0.210.00
Trade Policy & Market Access−0.210.000.00−0.210.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing−0.210.000.00−0.200.00