Round 20 · simulation 1 · cycle-002.e4-est

Round 2016

Round 20 of 30 in simulation 1 of Estonia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 2 actions, and the index −0.065 to 10.54.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2016 (the end of 2015) and as it left it.

Capability index: 10.54 (−0.065); In: 10.61
Rank by index: 42; In: 42
Domains at Tier 1: 1; In: 2
Credits carried: 0; In: 0

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	4.77	4.63	−0.133	6
Strategic Infrastructure	10.73	10.70	−0.034	5
National Security	6.45	6.48	+0.032	7
Human Capital	13.57	13.54	−0.032	2
Information & Influence	10.22	10.11	−0.112	3
Governance & Integrity	15.27	15.24	−0.028	1
Financial Strength	12.18	12.18	+0.001	6
Production & Innovation	10.73	10.63	−0.105	6
Trade & Investment	11.53	11.36	−0.175	1 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2016: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 240. Maintenance 218. Spent 22 on actions (partner 22). 0 carried over. 3 actions could not be paid for.

PartnerForce Generation & Mobilisation12 credits for 0.53 levelsscripted_history
PartnerCyber & Electromagnetic Operations10 credits for 0.57 levelsscripted_history

Earlier events still landing: −6.0 points this round.

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2016, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested	Events	Graph
Force Generation & Mobilisation	+0.35	+0.38	−0.05	+0.02
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations	+0.34	+0.36	−0.04	+0.03
Economic Leverage & Dependence	−0.25	0.00	−0.22	−0.03
Export Capability & Sophistication	−0.23	0.00	−0.22	−0.01
Global Value Chain Position	−0.22	0.00	−0.21	−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access	−0.22	0.00	−0.21	−0.01