Round 26 · simulation 1 · cycle-002.e4-est

Round 2022

Round 26 of 30 in simulation 1 of Estonia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.448 to 9.71.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.71 (−0.448)
In: 10.16
Rank by index
48
In: 45
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.504.26−0.2407
Strategic Infrastructure10.6810.11−0.5704 → 5
National Security6.796.21−0.5766 → 5
Human Capital13.0612.89−0.1662
Information & Influence9.439.15−0.2723 → 4
Governance & Integrity14.9214.61−0.3071
Financial Strength11.5110.93−0.5837 → 8
Production & Innovation9.989.46−0.5196 → 9
Trade & Investment10.559.75−0.8003 → 4

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 252. Maintenance 202. Spent 51 on actions (partner 51). 0 carried over. 6 actions could not be paid for.

  • PartnerForce Generation & Mobilisation13 credits for 0.45 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCyber & Electromagnetic Operations13 credits for 0.55 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerEnergy Infrastructure13 credits for 0.54 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerEnergy Technologies13 credits for 0.87 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −34.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 4 to 5; National Security Tier 6 to 5; Information & Influence Tier 3 to 4; Financial Strength Tier 7 to 8; Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 9; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2022, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence−1.320.000.00−1.25−0.07
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−1.190.000.00−1.180.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.180.000.00−1.18−0.01
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−1.150.000.00−1.14−0.01
Maritime Power−1.140.000.00−1.16+0.02
Resource Infrastructure−0.990.000.00−0.98−0.01