Round 20 · simulation 29 · cycle-002.e4-eth

Round 2016

Round 20 of 30 in simulation 29 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 0 actions, and the index −0.048 to 2.94.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2016 (the end of 2015) and as it left it.

Capability index
2.94 (−0.048)
In: 2.99
Rank by index
171
In: 170
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology0.930.91−0.01915
Strategic Infrastructure2.872.82−0.05513
National Security3.403.33−0.06810
Human Capital4.464.42−0.04617
Information & Influence3.353.30−0.05117
Governance & Integrity5.135.10−0.03319
Financial Strength2.462.40−0.06535 → 36
Production & Innovation2.492.45−0.04328
Trade & Investment1.791.74−0.05024 → 25

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2016: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 31. Maintenance 31 of the 40 needed, so 25 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over. 5 actions could not be paid for.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 35 to 36; Trade & Investment Tier 24 to 25.

The groups that moved most in 2016, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Force Generation & Mobilisation−0.170.00−0.090.00−0.08
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.140.000.000.00−0.14
Land Power−0.120.00−0.090.00−0.03
Global Value Chain Position−0.100.00−0.020.00−0.07
Social Infrastructure−0.090.00−0.020.00−0.07
National Resilience & Crisis Management−0.090.00−0.010.00−0.07