Round 25 · simulation 29 · cycle-002.e4-eth

Round 2021

Round 25 of 30 in simulation 29 of Ethiopia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 0 actions, and the index −0.039 to 1.87.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2021 (the end of 2020) and as it left it.

Capability index: 1.87 (−0.039); In: 1.91
Rank by index: 191; In: 191
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 0; In: 0

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	0.35	0.34	−0.013	19 → 22
Strategic Infrastructure	1.66	1.63	−0.032	14
National Security	2.14	2.08	−0.056	13 → 14
Human Capital	3.65	3.59	−0.055	17 → 18
Information & Influence	2.29	2.23	−0.056	21 → 22
Governance & Integrity	4.18	4.14	−0.037	22
Financial Strength	1.31	1.28	−0.033	42
Production & Innovation	1.06	1.01	−0.043	37
Trade & Investment	0.55	0.53	−0.023	27

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2021: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 12. Maintenance 12 of the 23 needed, so 47 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over. 5 actions could not be paid for.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 19 to 22; National Security Tier 13 to 14; Human Capital Tier 17 to 18; Information & Influence Tier 21 to 22.

The groups that moved most in 2021, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Decay	Graph
Force Generation & Mobilisation	−0.14	−0.13	−0.01
Land Power	−0.14	−0.13	−0.01
Financial Stability & Crisis Management	−0.13	−0.03	−0.09
Intelligence & Assessment	−0.11	−0.10	0.00
Communications & Digital Infrastructure	−0.10	−0.09	−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation	−0.10	−0.07	−0.02