Round 24 · simulation 22 · cycle-002.e4-hun

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 22 of Hungary, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.485 to 11.24.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.24 (−0.486)
In: 11.72
Rank by index
35
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 3
Credits carried
190
In: 228
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.027.40−0.6277
Strategic Infrastructure13.4513.21−0.2441
National Security7.256.94−0.3075 → 7
Human Capital14.0513.69−0.3553 → 5
Information & Influence12.2011.54−0.6592
Governance & Integrity13.6113.29−0.3181
Financial Strength11.5210.89−0.6307 → 8
Production & Innovation11.9311.37−0.5606
Trade & Investment13.4712.80−0.6671

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 373, plus 228 carried in. Maintenance 317. Spent 93 on actions (build 93). 190 carried over.

  • BuildPopulation Health19 credits for 0.81 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability19 credits for 0.82 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance19 credits for 0.48 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence19 credits for 1.65 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −36.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. National Security Tier 5 to 7; Human Capital Tier 3 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 7 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.120.000.00−1.120.00
Labour & Employment−1.090.000.00−1.090.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−1.050.000.00−1.050.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.97+0.160.00−1.140.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.97+0.220.00−1.20+0.01
Foundational Education−0.680.000.00−0.69+0.01