Round 11 · simulation 11 · cycle-002.e4-ken

Round 2007

Round 11 of 30 in simulation 11 of Kenya, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.704 to 6.46.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2007 (the end of 2006) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.46 (−0.704)
In: 7.17
Rank by index
90
In: 80
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
126
In: 117
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.752.24−0.50612
Strategic Infrastructure8.538.13−0.3947
National Security5.454.43−1.0148 → 9
Human Capital8.117.85−0.25312
Information & Influence7.866.76−1.0999 → 11
Governance & Integrity8.027.25−0.76715
Financial Strength8.617.39−1.22117 → 21
Production & Innovation7.166.70−0.46115 → 16
Trade & Investment8.037.41−0.62113

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2007: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 164, plus 117 carried in. Maintenance 114. Spent 40 on actions (build 40). 126 carried over.

  • BuildFoundational Education8 credits for 0.53 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure8 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance8 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption8 credits for 0.43 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure8 credits for 0.36 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −52.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. National Security Tier 8 to 9; Information & Influence Tier 9 to 11; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 21; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 16.

The groups that moved most in 2007, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Force Generation & Mobilisation−1.930.000.00−1.96+0.03
Monetary & Currency Capability−1.900.000.00−1.92+0.02
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.900.000.00−1.890.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.54+0.310.00−1.850.00
Investment Attraction & Projection−1.110.000.00−1.110.00
Space Operations−1.060.000.00−1.060.00