Round 2011
Round 15 of 30 in simulation 11 of Kenya, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.532 to 5.77.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2011 (the end of 2010) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.77 (−0.532)
- In: 6.30
- Rank by index
- 104
- In: 93
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 127
- In: 120
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.07 | 1.75 | −0.327 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 8.22 | 7.61 | −0.616 | 6 → 7 |
| National Security | 4.40 | 4.08 | −0.315 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.87 | 7.41 | −0.457 | 11 → 13 |
| Information & Influence | 6.60 | 5.92 | −0.677 | 11 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.33 | 7.04 | −0.290 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 6.89 | 6.12 | −0.773 | 22 → 23 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.34 | 5.77 | −0.567 | 17 → 18 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.03 | 6.26 | −0.765 | 13 → 15 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2011: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 136, plus 120 carried in. Maintenance 95. Spent 34 on actions (build 34). 127 carried over.
- BuildEnergy Infrastructure7 credits for 0.28 levelsscripted_history
- BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure7 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
- BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation7 credits for 0.43 levelsscripted_history
- BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management7 credits for 0.36 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTransport Infrastructure7 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −38.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 6 to 7; Human Capital Tier 11 to 13; Financial Strength Tier 22 to 23; Production & Innovation Tier 17 to 18; Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 15.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.31 | +0.03 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.16 | −0.01 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.12 | −0.02 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.05 | −0.05 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.08 | −0.01 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.04 | −0.03 |