Round 2020
Round 24 of 30 in simulation 11 of Kenya, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic and Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.690 to 4.87.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 4.87 (−0.689)
- In: 5.56
- Rank by index
- 122
- In: 109
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 129
- In: 121
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 1.53 | 1.03 | −0.493 | 13 → 16 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.84 | 7.26 | −0.576 | 6 |
| National Security | 3.55 | 3.16 | −0.392 | 10 → 11 |
| Human Capital | 7.22 | 6.58 | −0.632 | 13 |
| Information & Influence | 5.40 | 4.49 | −0.909 | 11 → 13 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.17 | 6.70 | −0.470 | 14 → 16 |
| Financial Strength | 5.81 | 4.84 | −0.966 | 21 → 23 |
| Production & Innovation | 5.60 | 4.86 | −0.739 | 18 → 19 |
| Trade & Investment | 5.94 | 4.91 | −1.029 | 16 → 17 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 117, plus 121 carried in. Maintenance 80. Spent 29 on actions (build 29). 129 carried over.
- BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure6 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
- BuildHealth System Capability6 credits for 0.28 levelsscripted_history
- BuildSocial Infrastructure6 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
- BuildAdvanced Manufacturing6 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion6 credits for 0.46 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −24.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −26.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 13 to 16; National Security Tier 10 to 11; Information & Influence Tier 11 to 13; Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 16; Financial Strength Tier 21 to 23; Production & Innovation Tier 18 to 19; Trade & Investment Tier 16 to 17.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.79 | +0.02 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.47 | 0.00 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.20 | +0.01 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.16 | −0.01 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −1.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.15 | −0.01 |
| Labour & Employment | −1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.13 | 0.00 |