Round 2024
Round 28 of 30 in simulation 11 of Kenya, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.219 to 4.18.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2024 (the end of 2023) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 4.18 (−0.219)
- In: 4.40
- Rank by index
- 136
- In: 131
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 110
- In: 107
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 0.88 | 0.90 | +0.022 | 17 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.78 | 6.44 | −0.341 | 7 |
| National Security | 2.84 | 2.67 | −0.171 | 11 → 13 |
| Human Capital | 6.21 | 6.01 | −0.202 | 14 |
| Information & Influence | 3.82 | 3.66 | −0.159 | 15 |
| Governance & Integrity | 6.37 | 6.21 | −0.160 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 4.07 | 3.75 | −0.315 | 25 |
| Production & Innovation | 4.51 | 4.26 | −0.247 | 19 → 18 |
| Trade & Investment | 4.11 | 3.71 | −0.395 | 17 → 19 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2024: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 84, plus 107 carried in. Maintenance 60. Spent 21 on actions (partner 21). 110 carried over.
- PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure4 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management4 credits for 0.20 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerEnergy Technologies4 credits for 0.41 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerTechnology Adoption & Diffusion4 credits for 0.42 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Core disaster S07. −15.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. National Security Tier 11 to 13; Production & Innovation Tier 19 to 18; Trade & Investment Tier 17 to 19.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.63 | −0.04 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.50 | −0.07 |
| Industrial & Sectoral Base | −0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.53 | −0.03 |
| Financial System Depth & Access | −0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.51 | −0.01 |
| Transport Infrastructure | −0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.43 | −0.08 |
| Social Infrastructure | −0.48 | +0.13 | 0.00 | −0.47 | −0.13 |