Round 29 · simulation 22 · cycle-002.e4-ken

Round 2025

Round 29 of 30 in simulation 22 of Kenya, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index −0.001 to 4.19.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2025 (the end of 2024) and as it left it.

Capability index
4.19 (−0.001)
In: 4.19
Rank by index
136
In: 136
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
96
In: 97
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology0.930.97+0.03716
Strategic Infrastructure6.506.49−0.0147
National Security2.692.65−0.04011
Human Capital6.036.01−0.01514 → 15
Information & Influence3.663.64−0.02015
Governance & Integrity6.166.18+0.01416 → 17
Financial Strength3.783.81+0.03125
Production & Innovation4.284.32+0.03518
Trade & Investment3.683.65−0.03419

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2025: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 77, plus 97 carried in. Maintenance 57. Spent 21 on actions (partner 21). 96 carried over.

  • PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure4 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.32 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management4 credits for 0.20 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerEnergy Technologies4 credits for 0.41 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTechnology Adoption & Diffusion4 credits for 0.41 levelsscripted_history

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 14 to 15; Governance & Integrity Tier 16 to 17.

The groups that moved most in 2025, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+0.41+0.410.000.00−0.01
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.39+0.410.000.00−0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.26+0.320.000.00−0.05
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.26+0.270.000.00−0.02
National Resilience & Crisis Management+0.20+0.210.000.00−0.02
Transport Infrastructure−0.100.000.000.00−0.10