Round 2026
Round 30 of 30 in simulation 22 of Kenya, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.002 to 4.19.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2026 (the end of 2025) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 4.19 (+0.002)
- In: 4.19
- Rank by index
- 136
- In: 136
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 94
- In: 91
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 0.97 | 1.00 | +0.034 | 16 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.49 | 6.48 | −0.007 | 7 |
| National Security | 2.65 | 2.63 | −0.019 | 11 → 12 |
| Human Capital | 6.01 | 5.99 | −0.023 | 15 |
| Information & Influence | 3.64 | 3.62 | −0.021 | 15 |
| Governance & Integrity | 6.18 | 6.19 | +0.012 | 17 |
| Financial Strength | 3.81 | 3.86 | +0.043 | 25 |
| Production & Innovation | 4.32 | 4.34 | +0.028 | 18 → 17 |
| Trade & Investment | 3.65 | 3.62 | −0.029 | 19 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2026: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 79, plus 91 carried in. Maintenance 57. Spent 19 on actions (partner 19). 94 carried over.
- PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure4 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management4 credits for 0.18 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerEnergy Technologies4 credits for 0.38 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerTechnology Adoption & Diffusion4 credits for 0.37 levelsscripted_history
Tiers. National Security Tier 11 to 12; Production & Innovation Tier 18 to 17.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +0.39 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.37 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.28 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | +0.24 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| National Resilience & Crisis Management | +0.20 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | −0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.06 |