Round 21 · simulation 29 · cycle-002.e4-ken

Round 2017

Round 21 of 30 in simulation 29 of Kenya, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.257 to 5.53.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2017 (the end of 2016) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.53 (−0.257)
In: 5.78
Rank by index
111
In: 104
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
121
In: 114
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology1.731.56−0.16712 → 13
Strategic Infrastructure7.777.66−0.1086
National Security3.953.57−0.3889 → 10
Human Capital7.347.21−0.12813
Information & Influence5.845.42−0.42311
Governance & Integrity7.347.07−0.26614
Financial Strength6.195.77−0.42422
Production & Innovation5.705.53−0.17218
Trade & Investment6.175.94−0.23715 → 16

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2017: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 122, plus 114 carried in. Maintenance 84. Spent 30 on actions (build 30). 121 carried over.

  • BuildTransport Infrastructure6 credits for 0.19 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure6 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure6 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration6 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFinancial System Depth & Access6 credits for 0.32 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −19.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 12 to 13; National Security Tier 9 to 10; Trade & Investment Tier 15 to 16.

The groups that moved most in 2017, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Force Generation & Mobilisation−0.740.000.00−0.74−0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.730.000.00−0.71−0.01
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.720.000.00−0.720.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.680.000.00−0.670.00
Investment Attraction & Projection−0.430.000.00−0.42−0.02
Air Power−0.410.000.00−0.39−0.02