Round 18 · simulation 12 · cycle-002.e4-nga

Round 2014

Round 18 of 30 in simulation 12 of Nigeria, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Outbreak defence succeeds, and the index +0.212 to 7.86.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2014 (the end of 2013) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.86 (+0.212)
In: 7.65
Rank by index
70
In: 72
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
28
In: 22
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.483.67+0.19210
Strategic Infrastructure9.279.60+0.3315
National Security6.336.41+0.0796
Human Capital7.838.08+0.24512
Information & Influence9.599.88+0.2917
Governance & Integrity8.759.06+0.30313
Financial Strength8.919.01+0.09216
Production & Innovation7.177.35+0.17915
Trade & Investment7.497.69+0.19912

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2014: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 186, plus 22 carried in. Maintenance 133. Spent 46 on actions (build 46). 28 carried over.

  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure9 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure9 credits for 0.41 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy9 credits for 0.53 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure9 credits for 0.36 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFoundational Education9 credits for 0.62 levelsscripted_history
  • Upside event: Outbreak defence succeeds S20. +12.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2014, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.73+0.550.00+0.17+0.01
Foundational Education+0.68+0.510.00+0.17−0.01
Energy Infrastructure+0.64+0.470.00+0.17−0.01
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure+0.60+0.430.00+0.17−0.01
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.59+0.420.00+0.170.00
Political Institutions & Civic Participation+0.39+0.210.00+0.170.00